Sunday, November 13, 2011

Kaveh L Afrasiabi

The head of International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Yukiya Amano, confirmed recent allegations on WikiLeaks of his intense loyalty to the United States, by traveling to Washington ahead of the much-anticipated release of his new report on Iran.
While the details of Amano's consultation with Washington higher-ups remain confidential, the avalanche of media speculation regarding the content of his upcoming November 9 report, including details of an appendix suggesting Iran's proliferation activity at a military complex in Tehran, leave no doubt that the United Nations' atomic agency is fully in league with the United States and its Western and Israeli allies' intention to ratchet up pressure on Tehran to relent on its current nuclear activities, or face dire consequences.

3 comments:

  1. Mr Amano goes to Washington
    By Kaveh L Afrasiabi

    Asia Times
    http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/MK08Ak01.html

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  2. Iran has faced several rounds of UN and unilateral sanctions over its nuclear program, which some suspect is designed to build a nuclear weapon - a charge Tehran rejects.

    Not since 2002-2003, when US officials willingly lied to the world community about Iraq's weapons of mass destruction threat, has the world seen such a deafening noise surrounding a country report by the IAEA. A casual comparison of the official Washington rhetoric then and now, with respect to Iran, reveals a strong resemblance that ought to make George Orwell shiver in his grave.

    Iran has officially complained to the UN regarding blunt threats by the US, France and Israel; this while the US and French presidents joined hands at the Group of 20 summit to orchestrate an Iranphobic campaign by categorically claiming that Iran was engaged in nuclear proliferation.

    As usual, another sensational campaign of disinformation on Iran is clearly underway, with compliant Western media outlets making much in reports of a "bus-size steel container" supposedly built to test high explosives, which could well turn out to be for conventional arms. The other item on the news agenda is "expanded information" that Iran has toyed with computer models on nuclear warheads.

    This is music to Tel Aviv's ears, given the intensifying war rhetoric of Israeli leaders who appear to be increasingly boxing themselves into an "attack Iran" mode.

    Iranian Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi accused the IAEA of giving in to US pressure to level accusations against Iran. ''Iran has already responded to the alleged studies in 117 pages. We've said time and again that these are forgeries similar to faked notes,'' Salehi told reporters in Tehran on Saturday. "The IAEA should not do things under pressure ... Iran's nuclear issue is not a technical or legal issue. It's a totally political case,'' Salehi said.
    The IAEA report may be the final evidence that the Israelis need before they launch their missile strikes at Iran's nuclear facilities, irrespective of whether or not the IAEA is guilty of adopting as fact the fabricated evidence of certain intelligence services.

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  3. The IAEA has no independent means to corroborate the mass of intelligence it receives from other nations. This was explicitly admitted to by Amano's predecessor Mohammad ElBaradei, who repeatedly cast doubt on the authenticity of the so-called "intelligence on Iran". Amano does not seem to have his predecessor's zeal for the independence required to dare to question Western perspectives on Iran.

    According to a well-placed source in Washington, who didn't want to be identified, Israel's real intention is not war, but rather to accelerate the Iran sanctions, particularly by the US Congress, which is mulling energy sanctions and the like. If so, Israel is doing a good job, even though its bluff may backfire next time around, especially with the Iranians having warned Israel of very dire consequences if it were to attack Iran.

    To be successful, an Israeli strike at Iran has to target dozens of sites, some in or around populated areas, which simply means a strong likelihood of high civilian casualties. That would trigger a tsunami of Iranian popular anger that would in turn impel the political leaders to try to respond as hard as possible at Israeli and US interests. It is a sure bet that the conflict would spread to the Persian Gulf and adversely affect the flow of oil from the region.

    "Iran can close the Strait of Hormuz at practically any time, and that would put a stop to the export of some 6 million barrels of oil that is shipped out of the region on a daily basis," says a Tehran University political science professor on the condition of anonymity. He, like other Iran foreign policy experts, is concerned that the US is playing a poor card by not reining in Israel to quiet its "incendiary rhetoric." While US President Barack Obama is perhaps too preoccupied with other subjects, this can prove a grave and costly error.

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